Donegal Group didn’t get the memo that insurance is boring — with earnings estimates up 75% and a dirt-cheap multiple, it’s quietly acting like a small-cap with something to prove.
This week’s lineup dives into that stealth breakout, plus overlooked names in gold, payments, and reinsurance, where the fundamentals are loud but the market’s still whispering.

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Financials
Intercorp Financial Services: Earnings Revisions Climb as Asia Credit Expansion Kicks In

Intercorp Financial Services (NASDAQ: IFS) doesn’t always make headlines, but analysts are quietly dialing up the volume nonetheless.
Earnings estimates for 2025 are up 6.5% over the past three months, with the Street now modeling $4.63 per share. Not exactly flashy, but more than enough to get value investors leaning in.
And while most fintechs are still figuring out what they want to be when they grow up, IFS is playing smart, strategic ball.
The company’s new tie-up with Japanese capital partners opens the door to Asia-Pacific SME lending: a move that could unlock scale and yield in one shot.
It’s a calculated bet that solves a real financing gap and builds a growth engine without the usual startup headaches.
Here’s the kicker: the stock trades at 8.6x forward earnings and a PEG of 0.35, which puts it in a different universe than high-multiple peers like SoFi.
With improving revisions, a defensible business model, and new capital flows entering the picture, IFS doesn’t need hype to rerate; it just needs investors to do the math.

Industrials
Avis Budget From Summer Travel Hero to Pricing Pressure Headline

Avis Budget Group (NYSE: CAR) just got a reality check from Bank of America, which downgraded the stock to Underperform and trimmed its price target to $113 from $120.
The analyst, Federico Merendi, pointed out the obvious: the stock’s summer rally wasn’t built on fundamentals.
U.S. rental demand is softening, pricing is weakening, and consumers aren’t exactly itching to splurge on travel.
In short, CAR’s recent run looks more like a detour than a long-term destination.
Add in potential tariffs later this year, and you’ve got more headwind than tailwind. Sure, there are bright spots — Avis First and a long-term fleet play with Waymo — but neither is moving the earnings needle fast enough to offset broader pressure.
Merendi slashed his 2025–2026 EBITDA forecasts and valuation assumptions, while noting that vehicle depreciation relief is modest at best compared to pandemic-era highs.
CAR now ranks among the most shorted U.S. stocks, which says plenty about sentiment.
With a forward multiple still technically below peers, valuation looks tempting, but without a clear earnings rebound, Wall Street seems unconvinced this story has room to run in the near term.

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Financials
James River Group Surges on Big Earnings Revisions and Deep Discount

James River Group Holdings (NASDAQ: JRVR) is starting to flash on investor radars after analysts bumped 2024 earnings estimates by nearly 12% over the past 60 days.
That kind of upward revision doesn’t happen without strong execution — in this case, tighter underwriting, better cost controls, and a clean balance sheet driving stronger profitability across both insurance and reinsurance segments.
What makes it even more compelling? JRVR trades at a forward P/E of 5.7, far below the sector average of 8.1.
That discount comes despite visible earnings momentum and an improved risk profile, giving value-focused investors something to chew on.
In a market still obsessed with high-multiple tech and AI names, JRVR is one of the few financials showing both a valuation gap and fundamental strength.
Risks still linger — interest rate moves and catastrophe events could dent sentiment — but with improving guidance and multiple expansion potential, this name looks like a sleeper candidate for a re-rating if investor focus rotates back toward cyclicals.

Actionable Picks This Week
Donegal Group (NASDAQ: DGICA) wasn’t really winning any branding awards, but it’s quietly torching expectations this week.
Analysts jacked up earnings estimates by 75% in two months, while the stock’s been steadily sneaking higher.
With operations across insurance-prone states, DGICA could ride pricing tailwinds into a proper rerate... if anyone remembers to look.
Despite the momentum, it still trades at a P/E of 8.8. That’s discount bin territory for a company flashing growth signals.
At some point, the market might do the math and realize it’s underpaying for this kind of trajectory.
WEX (NASDAQ: WEX): WEX, Visa's quiet cousin with better upside. WEX handles all the grown-up tasks — fleet cards, healthcare payments, and travel expense platforms — but somehow missed the party invitation.
Earnings projections rose 4.2% this quarter, and it’s already putting up $15.63 per share for 2025, with a solid beat record.
Yet it trades at a forward multiple of 10.9, which looks like a typo next to Visa’s 30x.
This is looking more and more like a cash machine with a lower sticker price and a tighter operating model. If investors ever blink, this thing could re-rate fast.
First Financial Bancorp (NASDAQ: FFBC) keeps its head down, makes money, and raises dividends.
It just posted record revenue, a 20% return on tangible equity, and a clean $0.74 EPS. Not bad for a regional bank that rarely makes headlines.
NIM climbed to 4.05%, capital is strong, and even with some noise in CRE, the board felt good enough to bump the dividend.
It’s not flashy, but it doesn’t need to be. In a sector that still scares people, FFBC’s boring looks like a competitive edge.

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Fast Movers to Watch
Newmont Corporation (NYSE: NEM): NEM is letting record gold prices do the heavy lifting.
Up 102% YTD, this miner has quietly handed back $2 billion to shareholders while chopping down $1.4 billion in debt.
It trades at a 14.1x forward P/E, modest for a company swimming in cash and sitting on high-octane commodity tailwinds.
There’s no flashy catalyst on the calendar, but if gold creeps higher, Newmont won’t need one. It’s already loaded, liquid, and positioned to sprint when the metal moves.Rigel Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: RIGL): RIGL’s a small-cap with big teeth. Up 146% YTD and now flirting with 52-week highs, this biotech has been torching
estimates, posting $3.28 EPS against a $1.97 consensus.
That’s an ambush!
With a 9.7x forward multiple and healthy cash flow, the valuation still looks like it’s stuck in 2023.
It’s not risk-free, but between the niche focus and earnings firepower, this one’s still got fuel left if the market catches on.Oshkosh Corporation (OSK): OSK didn’t make any headlines this week, but it’s racking up gains: up 42% in three months with no single news driver.
This is a quiet compounding story backed by a 13.1x forward P/E, a 15% ROE, and management that knows how to reinvest like grown-ups.No moonshots here. Just strong capital discipline, rising earnings, and a healthy dividend doing the heavy lifting.
When investor appetite swings back toward quality cyclicals, this one could rip.


Everything Else
NVR, Inc. (NVR) has experienced a 17% increase in share price over recent months, prompting analysts to consider it a potential buy, reflecting strong performance in the homebuilding sector.
Mark Cooper says that small-cap international value stocks are poised to outperform the S&P 500 over the next decade, highlighting undervalued opportunities in developed international markets.
Nasdaq Inc. has tightened listing rules for firms holding significant amounts of tokens, impacting crypto treasury stocks and signaling increased regulatory scrutiny.
That's our coverage for today; thanks for reading! Reply to this email with feedback or any [blank] stocks you want me to check out.
Best Regards,
—Noah Zelvis
Undervalued Edge





